TD 5 Wednesday-dissapated

From NHS and NOAA; 4 PM CDT Wednesday

We now have a High Surf Advisory, A Flash Flood Watch, and a Coastal Flooding Message.

...HEAVY RAINS FORECAST TO OVERSPREAD THE GULF COAST THROUGH FRIDAY

AFTERNOON...

.THE BROAD CENTER OF A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
MIGRATE NORTHWESTWARD OFF THE GULF AND SLOWLY INLAND THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. WITH THE FORECAST CALLING FOR A SLOW MOVEMENT...THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...IN BANDS...TO REPEATEDLY
MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
EASTWARD INTO THE COASTAL COUNTIES THROUGH FRIDAY. AS SOILS BECOME
SATURATED THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING WILL INCREASE OVER THE WATCH AREA.


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A



* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER
MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN AND UPPER MOBILE. IN NORTHWEST
FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA
ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA
ROSA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE AND STONE.

* FROM MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* THE HEAVIER RAINS ARE POSSIBLE GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
WIGGINS MISSISSIPPI TO CITRONELLE...BAY MINETTE ALABAMA TO
CRESTVIEW FLORIDA. LATEST FORECASTS CALL FOR STORM TOTAL RAINS OF 3
TO 5 INCHES DURING THE DURATION OF WATCH. A FEW AREAS MAY SEE LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF AROUND 6 INCHES.

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT FRIDAY...

MODERATE SWELLS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE BREAKING ONSHORE ALONG THE
BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...CREATING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENT AND HAZARDOUS SWIMMING
CONDITIONS.

THE HIGH SURF WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME MINOR BEACH EROSION...AS
WELL AS NUISANCE COASTAL FLOODING AS WASH MOVES OVER JETTIES AND
EXPOSED LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE. MANY LOCATIONS
ALONG THE COAST...INCLUDING BAYS AND RIVERS...WILL LIKELY HAVE TIDE
LEVELS 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE
PREDICTION FOR HIGH TIDES NEAR 1 FOOT ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR AROUND
100 PM THURSDAY. THE NEAP TIDE CYCLE WILL HELP ALLEVIATE ANY
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL HAZARDS.
THE LOCATIONS MOST PRONE TO MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ARE ALONG THE OLD
MOBILE CAUSEWAY AND THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND IN SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA...AND FORT PICKENS STATE PARK WEST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

TROPICAL STORM WARNING

While this is, as of 11 am - Wednesday, CDT still tropical depression 5 ===============
....TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT


THURSDAY...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...



...NEW INFORMATION...

ALTHOUGH THE DEPRESSION HAS WEAKENED...SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE

BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST ON THURSDAY.



...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM TROPICAL

STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS

DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE

OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR

OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...

PLAN TO LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.



&&



...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

A STORM SURGE WILL ACT TO RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4

FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE

EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. WITH THE LATEST FORECAST

TRACK NOW BEING SHIFTED MORE EASTWARD...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THESE

VALUES MAY BE REVISED UPWARD A BIT BUT NOT MUCH MORE THAN ONE

ADDITIONAL FOOT. ALSO REMEMBER...ACROSS OUR AREA THERE WILL BE A

RANGE OF INUNDATION WITH THE HIGHER VALUES BEING GENERALLY WEST OF

PENSACOLA AND THE LOWER VALUES A BIT FURTHER EAST WHICH WOULD BE A

GREATER DISTANCE FROM THE STORM`S CENTER.



...INLAND FLOODING...

HEAVY TROPICAL CYCLONE RAINBANDS WILL SET UP ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA

AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY

AS THE CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM MOVES INLAND OVER LOUISIANA AND

MISSISSIPPI. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH

LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 10 INCHES IN BANDS OF PERSISTENT HEAVIER

RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION.



...WINDS...

AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE APPROACHES AND STRENGTHENS TO A

TROPICAL STORM...PERIODS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAINLY

IN PASSING SQUALLS...ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE COASTAL REGION

BY LATE EVENING INTO EARLY THURSDAY.



...TORNADOES...

TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS ONCE

THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION PASSES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF COASTAL ALABAMA

AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. REMEMBER...TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES

AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.




Expect higher surf 6-6 feet, and higher tides 2-3 feet above normal.  Help inform guests of the flag warning system.  As bad weather approached, leave the beach for your safety.